17 assets1d
Semiconductor Alpha Cycle
Bets on chip stocks riding the AI boom, buying and selling based on momentum signals.
By Amaltash Advisors LLC
Investment thesis
How it works
Focuses on 16 semiconductor companies at different sizes
Buys when prices show upward momentum, sells when momentum fades
Automatically reduces positions during sector-wide downturns to protect money
Aims for 20-30 trades per year, letting profits grow over time
Works best when
- When chip stocks are rallying steadily and AI demand stays strong
- When the semiconductor sector is outperforming the broader market
- When volatility is moderate — enough movement to trade, not chaotic
- When larger tech companies keep buying chips for AI infrastructure
Watch out for
- When the entire chip sector crashes suddenly (like a recession scare)
- When AI hype cools and investors lose interest in semiconductor stocks
- When the market freezes up and nobody's buying or selling
- When a major company (like NVIDIA) disappoints and drags the whole group down
Performance
BacktestedSign in to see performance
Hypothetical backtest results, risk numbers and stress-test outcomes are shown only to signed-in investors, after the advisory fee and alongside the S&P 500. Backtested results are not returns any account earned.
Track record
- Strategy created
- May 13, 2026
- Current version
- Version 2
- since Jun 30, 2026
- Live track record
- Not yet
- no combined account history
Portfolio
17 holdings · target weights for version 2, as of Jun 30, 2026. Actual positions vary with signals.
| Holding | Target weight | Market cap |
|---|---|---|
22% | $4.08T | |
18% | $1.53T | |
12% | $844.99B | |
8% | $138.91B | |
8% | $185.68B | |
6% | $820.41B | |
4% | $308.96B | |
4% | $65.93B | |
3% | $2.66B | |
3% | $274.61B | |
3% | $190.58B | |
3% | $15.82B | |
2% | $4.79B | |
2% | $555.69M | |
1% | $32.83B | |
1% | $27.10B | |
0% | — |
Risk & rules
The automated rules that limit losses.
Stops trigger on the next available price. A price gap, overnight or in a fast market, can fill well below the 25% level.
Stress tests
Ten difficult markets, chosen in advance. Eight replay real trading days; two are modelled stand-ins.
| Market | Method | Result |
|---|---|---|
| The Bull Run of 2016–17 | Modelled | Sign in to view |
| The 2020 Rebound | Replay | Sign in to view |
| The 2022 Slump | Replay | Sign in to view |
| The COVID Crash | Replay | Sign in to view |
| The Christmas 2018 Scare | Replay | Sign in to view |
| The Year That Went Nowhere | Modelled | Sign in to view |
| The Wild Swings of Late 2022 | Replay | Sign in to view |
| The Quiet Year | Replay | Sign in to view |
| The Magnificent Seven Year | Replay | Sign in to view |
| When Tech Handed Over to Oil | Replay | Sign in to view |
Fees
Assumes the balance stays at $10,000. Spreads and regulatory fees may also apply.
- What does Semiconductor Alpha Cycle hold?
- Holdings (17): NVDA, AVGO, AMD, MRVL, QCOM, MU, INTC, NXPI, AMBA, TXN, ADI, LSCC, MBLY, INDI, MCHP, ON, SOXX.
- How often does it check its rules?
- Once a day, on daily prices.
- When does this kind of strategy tend to struggle?
- When the entire chip sector crashes suddenly (like a recession scare); When AI hype cools and investors lose interest in semiconductor stocks; When the market freezes up and nobody's buying or selling; When a major company (like NVIDIA) disappoints and drags the whole group down.
Important information
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments involves substantial risk, including the possible loss of your entire investment, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices can be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory, or political events. Trading on margin or with leverage increases potential losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice. We do not recommend any particular trading strategy or instrument. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.