Semiconductor Alpha Cycle
Holds: NVDA, AVGO, AMD + 14 more
Active buy-and-sell momentum strategy capturing the multi-year AI semiconductor supercycle across 16 names in three tiers spanning compute, networking, edge silicon, and automotive chips. Regime filter defensively exits all small-cap positions during sector-wide drawdowns. Targets 20–30 trades per year while letting winners compound through the cycle.
Performance
Performance
1Y
+42.31%
Win Rate
72.2%
Drawdown
-13.9%
Overall (5Y)
Returns
Returns
Historical backtest returns by calendar year. Positive bars grow up, negative bars grow down from the zero line.
Calculator
Returns Calculator
This strategy
$24,992
+$14,992 (+149.9%)
S&P 500
$19,299
+$9,299 (+93.0%)
Based on historical 5-year backtest returns. Past performance does not guarantee future results — this is an illustration, not a forecast.
Summary
Performance Metrics
Win Rate
53%
of 536 closed trades
Sharpe Ratio
1.38
vs 0.94 S&P 500
Max Drawdown
33%
backtest period
Profit Factor
2.55
$2.55 earned per $1 lost
Intelligence
AI Strategy Analysis
Configuration
Strategy Parameters
Timeframe
1d
1d candles
Position Size
100%
per trade
Take Profit
—
dynamic target
Stop Loss
—
per signal
Max Open
1 position
concurrent
Max Drawdown
32.8%
historical peak
Leverage
1×
max leverage
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