4 assets1d

Elon Bets (Risk Protected)

Bets on Tesla and a tech fund when both are rising, but bails to safe bonds if losses hit a limit.

By Amaltash Advisors LLC

Investment thesis

Elon Bets (Risk Protected) goes long Tesla and SPCX only when the stock and the broader market are trending up together, capturing the big moves in two of the market's most volatile growth names. When a drawdown hits its threshold it exits to T-Bills automatically and waits for a confirmed recovery in both before re-entering — upside participation without the round trip.

How it works

  1. Buys Tesla and SPCX (a tech-heavy fund) when prices are climbing together

  2. Automatically switches to T-Bills (super safe bonds) if losses get too big

  3. Waits for both stocks to confirm they're rising again before jumping back in

  4. Aims to catch big gains while protecting you from getting wiped out

Works best when

  • When the stock market and tech stocks are both climbing steadily for weeks
  • After a sharp drop, when prices start recovering and momentum is clearly returning
  • During periods when growth stocks lead the market higher with strong volume
  • When volatility is elevated but directional (prices moving decisively up, not just bouncing around)

Watch out for

  • When the market crashes suddenly and keeps falling — the bot exits but misses the rebound timing
  • During choppy sideways markets where prices bounce up and down without a clear direction
  • When tech stocks rally but the broader market stays flat or weak — conflicting signals
  • In slow, grinding downtrends where the bot keeps getting whipsawed in and out

Performance

Backtested

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Hypothetical backtest results, risk numbers and stress-test outcomes are shown only to signed-in investors, after the advisory fee and alongside the S&P 500. Backtested results are not returns any account earned.

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Track record

Strategy created
Aug 24, 2026
First listed
Aug 24, 2026
Current version
Version 20
since Aug 24, 2026
Live track record
Not yet
no combined account history

Portfolio

4 holdings · target weights for version 20, as of Aug 24, 2026. Actual positions vary with signals.

Motor vehicles & passenger car bodies65%Services-computer programming, data processing, etc.25%Unclassified10%
HoldingTarget weightMarket cap
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
Motor vehicles & passenger car bodies
65%
$1.54T
SPCX
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A
Services-computer programming, data processing, etc.
25%
$1.90T
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
—
10%
—
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
—
0%
—

Risk & rules

The automated rules that limit losses.

Portfolio guardrail
From the account’s high point · closes every position
Max drawdown 20% → Close all & pause
Per-position rules
Varies by holding · closes one position
Stop loss 20% to 25%Take profit 100%Leverage None

Stops trigger on the next available price. A price gap, overnight or in a fast market, can fill well below the 20% level.

Stress tests

Ten difficult markets, chosen in advance. Eight replay real trading days; two are modelled stand-ins.

MarketMethodResult
The Bull Run of 2016–17ModelledSign in to view
The 2020 ReboundReplaySign in to view
The 2022 SlumpReplaySign in to view
The COVID CrashReplaySign in to view
The Christmas 2018 ScareReplaySign in to view
The Year That Went NowhereModelledSign in to view
The Wild Swings of Late 2022ReplaySign in to view
The Quiet YearReplaySign in to view
The Magnificent Seven YearReplaySign in to view
When Tech Handed Over to OilReplaySign in to view

Fees

Licensing fee
None
Advisory fee
Up to 1.00% a year
On deployed capital, billed on your balance
Advisory fee on $10,000 at the maximum rate
1 year
$100
3 years
$300
5 years
$500

Assumes the balance stays at $10,000. Spreads and regulatory fees may also apply.

Documents

Form ADV Part 2ASEC ↗Form CRSPDF ↓Strategy prospectusSign in
What does Elon Bets (Risk Protected) hold?
Holdings (4): TSLA, SGOV, SPY, SPCX.
How often does it check its rules?
Once a day, on daily prices.
What happens if a risk limit breaks?
If the account falls 20% from its high point, it sells everything and stops trading.
When does this kind of strategy tend to struggle?
When the market crashes suddenly and keeps falling — the bot exits but misses the rebound timing; During choppy sideways markets where prices bounce up and down without a clear direction; When tech stocks rally but the broader market stays flat or weak — conflicting signals; In slow, grinding downtrends where the bot keeps getting whipsawed in and out.

Important information

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments involves substantial risk, including the possible loss of your entire investment, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices can be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory, or political events. Trading on margin or with leverage increases potential losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Not Financial Advice: The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice. We do not recommend any particular trading strategy or instrument. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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