When markets fall
The Christmas 2018 Scare
A sudden drop, then a full recovery within months.
our model of the S&P 500 around Sep 2018–Apr 2019falls about 20% at its worst, then ends about 6% above where it begana shape, not a scale · not this strategy
- Index
- S&P 500
- The real dates
- 20 Sep 2018 – 23 Apr 2019
- What the index did
- roughly flat
- How we run it
- Real trading days
A 20% fall into Christmas Eve 2018 on tightening fears, then a recovery to a new all-time high within four months. Anything that sold near the low and waited for confirmation missed it.
The rules this strategy follows here
- 1What it holds
5 companies.
- 2When it sells
One of them drops 5% below the price it was bought at.
- 3What it does
It sells that one. The rest carry on.
On two days here, the market opened far below where it closed the day before.
An order set to sell at 5% down can end up selling far below that. If the market opens below that price, there is no chance to sell at it. That is what this market is here to show, and why we keep it in the set.