Safe QQQ

QQQ
SGOV
2 assetslow risk1d

A tech-focused bot that rides uptrends in QQQ, then moves to cash when momentum fades.

byCharvi Agarwal

Price

Free

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The idea

A tech-focused bot that rides uptrends in QQQ, then moves to cash when momentum fades.

This strategy keeps things simple by watching the long-term trend of a major tech-heavy index. When prices are trading above their long-term average and that average is sloping upward, the strategy leans into the position, aiming to ride the wave of a healthy uptrend. If momentum fades or the trend starts to break down, it steps aside and rotates into a safer, cash-like holding to help protect capital while waiting for the next opportunity. This is a long-only approach, meaning it never bets against the market, it simply chooses between being invested in growth or parked safely on the sidelines. A built-in exit threshold also helps limit losses if the trend reverses sharply, making this a straightforward tool for investors who want growth exposure without needing to watch the market every day.

Design

How it works

  1. Stays invested in QQQ during healthy uptrends

  2. Moves to cash-like SGOV when trend weakens

  3. Checks daily, no constant monitoring needed

  4. Cuts losses if prices drop sharply

Conditions

Where it works, and where it doesn't

Every strategy is built for a particular kind of market. These are the conditions this one is designed around — and the ones it is not.

Built for

  • When tech stocks are climbing steadily over weeks or months
  • When the overall market mood is positive and growth is favored
  • When volatility is calm and trends stay intact
  • When you want growth without watching charts all day

Not built for

  • When the market crashes suddenly and prices plummet before the bot can react
  • When tech stocks bounce around wildly with no clear direction
  • When uptrends reverse quickly after the bot gets invested
  • When the market stays flat for long periods with no real movement

The Simulation Lab

Ten bad markets, before your money is in one.

Almost anything looks good in a rising market. That is not a test. So we put the strategies listed here through the same ten bad markets, and this one has been through them. They are stretches of real market history, with names and dates: the 2022 slump, the COVID crash, a year that went nowhere. We picked them before this strategy existed.

Two of them are below. Each one shows our drawing of what that market looked like, and the rules this strategy follows when a market like it turns up. None of this is a score. What actually happened to the strategy is in your dashboard, not on this page.

10bad markets, picked before this strategy existed
8 of 10can run on the real trading days of the time they name
2 of 10we model ourselves, and we mark them as modelled
24 Sep 2026when we last ran this strategy through them

When markets fall

The 2022 Slump

A full year of falling prices as interest rates shot up.

our model of the S&P 500 around 2022ends about 20% below where it begana shape, not a scale · not this strategy

Index
S&P 500
The real dates
3 Jan – 30 Dec 2022
What the index did
fell 19.4%
How we run it
Real trading days

A full year of lower highs as the Federal Reserve raised rates from near zero to over 4%. The index was down 25% at its October low, having staged two rallies of more than 10% on the way down, and a third of 14% into the year end.

The rules this strategy follows here

  1. 1
    What it holds

    2 companies.

  2. 2
    When it sells

    One of them drops 12% below the price it was bought at.

  3. 3
    What it does

    It sells that one. The rest carry on.

No overnight drops in this market.

When markets go nowhere

The Magnificent Seven Year

A handful of big names carried 2023; most stocks didn’t.

our model of the S&P 500 vs its equal-weighted twin around 2023ends about 8% above where it begana shape, not a scale · not this strategy

Index
S&P 500 vs its equal-weighted twin
The real dates
3 Jan – 29 Dec 2023
What the index did
rose 24.2%
How we run it
Real trading days

The cap-weighted index rose 24% while the equal-weighted version managed under 12%: a handful of very large names carried almost the whole gain and the median stock did little.

The rules this strategy follows here

  1. 1
    What it holds

    2 companies.

  2. 2
    When it sells

    One of them drops 12% below the price it was bought at.

  3. 3
    What it does

    It sells that one. The rest carry on.

No overnight drops in this market.

A market that ends where it started still charges you for every trade made inside it. This is where the cost of trading adds up fastest. That is why it sits in the set right next to the crash.

When markets rise

The Bull Run of 2016–17

Two calm years when the market just kept climbing.

our model of the S&P 500 around 2016–17ends about 42% above where it begana shape, not a scale · not this strategy

Index
S&P 500
The real dates
4 Jan 2016 – 29 Dec 2017
What the index did
rose 30.8%

When markets rise

The 2020 Rebound

The market climbed about 76% in under a year off the COVID low.

our model of the S&P 500 around Mar 2020–Feb 2021rises about 85% at its turn, then ends about 78% above where it begana shape, not a scale · not this strategy

Index
S&P 500
The real dates
23 Mar 2020 – 12 Feb 2021
What the index did
rose 75.9%

Sign in to see how this strategy did in each one.

The results open in your dashboard, where we can explain what they mean for you. They are simulated results, so we never show them here.

Open the stress tests

trade.amaltash.com/marketplace/safe-qqq?tab=stress

All ten markets

  • The Bull Run of 2016–17When markets rise · modelled · shown above Tested
  • The 2020 ReboundWhen markets rise · shown above Tested
  • The 2022 SlumpWhen markets fall · shown above Tested
  • The COVID CrashWhen markets fall Tested
  • The Christmas 2018 ScareWhen markets fall Tested
  • The Year That Went NowhereWhen markets go nowhere · modelled Tested
  • The Wild Swings of Late 2022When markets go nowhere Tested
  • The Quiet YearWhen markets rise Tested
  • The Magnificent Seven YearWhen markets go nowhere · shown above Tested
  • When Tech Handed Over to OilWhen markets go nowhere Tested

These ten are the whole set. We picked them for the damage they did — the fastest crash on record, a year that went nowhere, a grind that punished every rally — not for how they make anything look.

8 of these 10 can run on the real trading days of the time they name. We model the other 2 — The Bull Run of 2016–17 and The Year That Went Nowhere. A strategy needs a stretch of history to warm up on before a test starts, and our price data does not go back far enough to give these that. So we built stand-ins that behave like those years, rather than replays of them. A modelled market is not a forecast, and it is not what would have happened. The shapes drawn above are our models of those markets — never this strategy — and they have no scale. The dates and index moves next to each one are the real figures for the period it is modelled on. Nothing on this page says how any strategy did in these tests.

Holdings

What it holds

The 2 positions this strategy trades. Holdings can change as the strategy rebalances.

QQQSGOV

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments involves substantial risk, including the possible loss of your entire investment, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices can be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory, or political events. Trading on margin or with leverage increases potential losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Not Financial Advice: The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice. We do not recommend any particular trading strategy or instrument. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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