3 assetsLow risk1d

Commodity Surge - Precious Metals & Energy

Buys gold, silver, and natural gas only when prices are surging near their yearly highs.

By Amaltash Advisors LLCAutomated, rules-basedVersion 6

Investment thesis

This strategy trades gold, silver, and natural gas — three commodities that tend to move in powerful, sustained surges when conditions align. It takes long-only positions, meaning it profits when prices rise, and it stays completely out of the market during weak or choppy periods. The core idea is simple: only buy when a commodity is already near its strongest recent price and showing upward momentum. Think of it like only jumping on a train that's already moving fast and hasn't slowed down yet. Each position has its own exit plan. Gold is given more room to breathe with a generous upside target, while silver and natural gas carry both an upside target and a built-in safety net that automatically closes the trade if prices drop too far — protecting you from the sharper swings those markets are known for. Imagine natural gas has been quietly climbing for months and finally pushes close to a one-year high. This strategy would see that as a green light to enter. If gas keeps climbing, it rides the move toward its profit target. If it suddenly reverses and falls, the stop-loss kicks in and closes the trade before the damage gets too deep. This is a patient, selective strategy — it won't trade just to trade. It waits for strength, commits with conviction, and steps aside when the trend breaks down.

How it works

  1. Enters trades when momentum is strong and rising

  2. Exits automatically if prices drop or momentum fades

  3. Sits on the sidelines during weak or choppy markets

  4. Uses built-in safety stops to limit losses on volatile assets

Works best when

  • When precious metals and energy prices are in sustained upward moves
  • When commodities break out to new yearly highs with steady buying pressure
  • When market conditions favor inflation or supply concerns
  • When volatility is moderate — enough movement to catch trends, not chaotic

Watch out for

  • When commodity prices crash suddenly or reverse sharply downward
  • When markets trade sideways or choppy with no clear direction
  • When false breakouts happen — prices spike then immediately fall back
  • When geopolitical or economic shocks cause panic selling across all commodities

Performance

Backtested

Sign in to see performance

Hypothetical backtest results, risk numbers and stress-test outcomes are shown only to signed-in investors, after the advisory fee and alongside the S&P 500. Backtested results are not returns any account earned.

Track record

Strategy created
Jun 22, 2026
Current version
Version 6
since Jun 22, 2026
Live track record
Not yet
no combined account history

Portfolio

3 holdings · target weights for version 6, as of Jun 22, 2026. Actual positions vary with signals.

Commodity contracts brokers & dealers100%
HoldingSectorTarget weightMarket cap
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Commodity contracts brokers & dealers
34%
—
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
Commodity contracts brokers & dealers
33%
—
UNG
United States Natural Gas Fund, LP Unit
Commodity contracts brokers & dealers
33%
—

Risk & rules

The automated rules that limit losses.

Portfolio guardrail
In one trading day · stops new trades
Daily loss 3% → Pause until the next day
Per-position rules
Varies by holding · closes one position
Stop loss 3% to 4%Take profit 15% to 20%Leverage None

Stops trigger on the next available price. A price gap, overnight or in a fast market, can fill well below the 3% level.

Stress tests

Ten difficult markets, chosen in advance. Eight replay real trading days; two are modelled stand-ins.

MarketMethodResult
The Bull Run of 2016–17ModelledSign in to view
The 2020 ReboundReplaySign in to view
The 2022 SlumpReplaySign in to view
The COVID CrashReplaySign in to view
The Christmas 2018 ScareReplaySign in to view
The Year That Went NowhereModelledSign in to view
The Wild Swings of Late 2022ReplaySign in to view
The Quiet YearReplaySign in to view
The Magnificent Seven YearReplaySign in to view
When Tech Handed Over to OilReplaySign in to view

Fees

Licensing fee
$150
Once, for access
Advisory fee
Up to 1.00% a year
On deployed capital, billed on your balance
Advisory fee on $10,000 at the maximum rate
1 year
$100
3 years
$300
5 years
$500

Assumes the balance stays at $10,000. The licensing fee is charged on top, once. Spreads and regulatory fees may also apply.

Important information

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments involves substantial risk, including the possible loss of your entire investment, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices can be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory, or political events. Trading on margin or with leverage increases potential losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Not Financial Advice: The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice. We do not recommend any particular trading strategy or instrument. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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