Gold Rush: Tiered Miners

NEM
B
AEM
+1
11 assetsmoderate risk1d

A gold mining stock picker that buys established miners, mid-tier growth companies, and royalty firms—selling the smallest ones first when gold weakens.

byAmaltash Advisors LLC

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The idea

A gold mining stock picker that buys established miners, mid-tier growth companies, and royalty firms—selling the smallest ones first when gold weakens.

A long-only strategy built entirely around gold mining stocks, organized into three tiers based on company size and risk profile. The biggest, most established miners form the foundation — names like Newmont and Barrick — and they stay in the portfolio through most market conditions because of their financial strength. Mid-tier royalty and streaming companies form the middle layer, offering a balance of growth and stability. The smallest, highest-growth miners sit in the third tier and are the first to be trimmed when the gold sector shows signs of weakening. Captures the gold bull market through the miners and royalty companies that offer leveraged upside to metal prices. With gold above $5,000/oz and central banks still accumulating, mining margins are at record highs — but equity valuations haven't caught up. This strategy layers senior producers for stability, mid-tier growth miners for expansion optionality, and royalty companies for capital-light compounding.

Design

How it works

  1. Focuses entirely on gold mining and related companies

  2. Holds bigger, safer miners as a stable core

  3. Trims smaller, riskier miners when sector weakens

  4. Aims to profit from rising gold prices through mining stocks

Conditions

Where it works, and where it doesn't

Every strategy is built for a particular kind of market. These are the conditions this one is designed around — and the ones it is not.

Built for

  • When gold prices are climbing steadily over weeks or months
  • When central banks and investors are buying gold actively
  • When mining company profits are expanding due to higher gold
  • When the overall stock market isn't crashing hard

Not built for

  • When gold prices drop suddenly or stay flat for long periods
  • When the broader stock market crashes and investors panic-sell everything
  • When mining companies face operational problems or cost increases
  • When interest rates rise sharply, making gold less attractive

The Simulation Lab

Ten bad markets, before your money is in one.

Almost anything looks good in a rising market. That is not a test. So we put the strategies listed here through the same ten bad markets, and this one has been through them. They are stretches of real market history, with names and dates: the 2022 slump, the COVID crash, a year that went nowhere. We picked them before this strategy existed.

Two of them are below. Each one shows our drawing of what that market looked like, and the rules this strategy follows when a market like it turns up. None of this is a score. What actually happened to the strategy is in your dashboard, not on this page.

10bad markets, picked before this strategy existed
8 of 10can run on the real trading days of the time they name
2 of 10we model ourselves, and we mark them as modelled
5 Sep 2026when we last ran this strategy through them

When markets fall

The Christmas 2018 Scare

A sudden drop, then a full recovery within months.

our model of the S&P 500 around Sep 2018–Apr 2019falls about 20% at its worst, then ends about 6% above where it begana shape, not a scale · not this strategy

Index
S&P 500
The real dates
20 Sep 2018 – 23 Apr 2019
What the index did
roughly flat
How we run it
Real trading days

A 20% fall into Christmas Eve 2018 on tightening fears, then a recovery to a new all-time high within four months. Anything that sold near the low and waited for confirmation missed it.

The rules this strategy follows here

  1. 1
    What it holds

    11 companies.

  2. 2
    When it sells

    One of them drops 15% to 18% below the price it was bought at.

  3. 3
    What it does

    It sells that one. The rest carry on.

On two days here, the market opened far below where it closed the day before.

An order set to sell at 15% to 18% down can end up selling far below that. If the market opens below that price, there is no chance to sell at it. That is what this market is here to show, and why we keep it in the set.

When markets go nowhere

The Year That Went Nowhere

2015 swung up and down all year and finished where it started.

our model of the S&P 500 around 2015swings about 9% either way, and ends about 1% above where it begana shape, not a scale · not this strategy

Index
S&P 500
The real dates
2 Jan – 31 Dec 2015
What the index did
roughly flat
How we run it
Our model of it

A year that ended where it began, after swinging repeatedly in between — including a 12% drop in August when China devalued its currency, fully recovered by November.

The rules this strategy follows here

  1. 1
    What it holds

    11 companies.

  2. 2
    When it sells

    One of them drops 15% to 18% below the price it was bought at.

  3. 3
    What it does

    It sells that one. The rest carry on.

No overnight drops in this market.

A market that ends where it started still charges you for every trade made inside it. This is where the cost of trading adds up fastest. That is why it sits in the set right next to the crash.

When markets rise

The Quiet Year

2017 — the calmest year the market has recorded.

our model of the S&P 500 around 2017ends about 12% above where it begana shape, not a scale · not this strategy

Index
S&P 500
The real dates
3 Jan – 29 Dec 2017
What the index did
rose 19.4%

When markets fall

The 2022 Slump

A full year of falling prices as interest rates shot up.

our model of the S&P 500 around 2022ends about 20% below where it begana shape, not a scale · not this strategy

Index
S&P 500
The real dates
3 Jan – 30 Dec 2022
What the index did
fell 19.4%

Sign in to see how this strategy did in each one.

The results open in your dashboard, where we can explain what they mean for you. They are simulated results, so we never show them here.

Open the stress tests

trade.amaltash.com/marketplace/gold-rush-tiered-miners?tab=stress

All ten markets

  • The Bull Run of 2016–17When markets rise · modelled Tested
  • The 2020 ReboundWhen markets rise Tested
  • The 2022 SlumpWhen markets fall · shown above Tested
  • The COVID CrashWhen markets fall Tested
  • The Christmas 2018 ScareWhen markets fall · shown above Tested
  • The Year That Went NowhereWhen markets go nowhere · modelled · shown above Tested
  • The Wild Swings of Late 2022When markets go nowhere Tested
  • The Quiet YearWhen markets rise · shown above Tested
  • The Magnificent Seven YearWhen markets go nowhere Tested
  • When Tech Handed Over to OilWhen markets go nowhere Tested

These ten are the whole set. We picked them for the damage they did — the fastest crash on record, a year that went nowhere, a grind that punished every rally — not for how they make anything look.

8 of these 10 can run on the real trading days of the time they name. We model the other 2 The Bull Run of 2016–17 and The Year That Went Nowhere. A strategy needs a stretch of history to warm up on before a test starts, and our price data does not go back far enough to give these that. So we built stand-ins that behave like those years, rather than replays of them. A modelled market is not a forecast, and it is not what would have happened. The shapes drawn above are our models of those markets — never this strategy — and they have no scale. The dates and index moves next to each one are the real figures for the period it is modelled on. Nothing on this page says how any strategy did in these tests.

Holdings

What it holds

A few of the 11 positions this strategy trades. Sign in to see the full basket and the weights behind it.

+ 7 more assets in this strategy

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Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments involves substantial risk, including the possible loss of your entire investment, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices can be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory, or political events. Trading on margin or with leverage increases potential losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Not Financial Advice: The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice. We do not recommend any particular trading strategy or instrument. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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