12 assets1d

GLP-1 Revolution

Bets on obesity drug companies and their suppliers, automatically adjusting positions based on momentum and upcoming news.

By Amaltash Advisors LLC

Investment thesis

Obesity is no longer a lifestyle problem — it's the largest addressable drug market of the decade. Eli Lilly posted $12.9B from GLP-1 drugs in a single quarter. Novo Nordisk's oral Wegovy hit 50,000 weekly prescriptions within three weeks of launch. Amgen's MariTide promises monthly or even quarterly dosing that could reshape patient compliance entirely. The injectable era opened the market. The oral era — now live with two pills on the market — is about to blow the doors off it. But the real story isn't just the drugs. Every injection needs a prefillable syringe (West Pharmaceutical), sterile fill-finish manufacturing (Thermo Fisher just built a 1.5B-unit-per-year production line), and subcutaneous delivery technology (Halozyme's ENHANZE platform is licensed by both Lilly and Amgen — they collect royalties regardless of who sells more). Behind the supply chain, the next generation is already forming: Viking Therapeutics showed best-in-class Phase 2 data and is the most talked-about acquisition target in biotech. Structure Therapeutics is building an oral small-molecule GLP-1 that doesn't need peptide manufacturing at all. Healthcare ETFs like XLV and XBI give you exposure to this theme buried inside hundreds of holdings — hospital operators, generic drugmakers, insurance companies, dental suppliers — that have nothing to do with the GLP-1 revolution. This strategy strips away the noise and concentrates on 12 high-conviction names across three layers: the drug makers writing blockbuster prescriptions, the manufacturers scaling to meet demand, and the challengers that could be acquired at a 50% premium overnight. The strategy isn't passive. When biotech enters a sustained downtrend, it automatically moves speculative positions to cash and preserves capital in the revenue-backed core. Each month it ranks every holding by momentum and rotates the weakest names out for the strongest opportunities in. Before earnings and FDA catalyst dates — events that can move biotech stocks 20-30% overnight — it trims profitable positions to lock in gains. A healthcare ETF just sits there and absorbs the drawdown. This strategy was built to manage the volatility that comes with owning the future of metabolic medicine.

How it works

  1. Focuses on 12 companies making or supplying GLP-1 weight-loss drugs

  2. Automatically sells weakest performers each month, buys strongest ones

  3. Reduces risk before major announcements that could swing stocks 20-30%

  4. Moves to cash when the whole biotech sector is falling

Works best when

  • When obesity drug demand is growing and stock prices trending upward
  • When the biotech sector is stable and not in panic mode
  • When new drug approvals or prescription data create positive momentum
  • When you own it for months, not days (strategy needs time to work)

Watch out for

  • When the entire biotech sector crashes suddenly (like FDA rejection news)
  • When interest rates spike and investors flee growth stocks overnight
  • When a major drug faces safety concerns or competition emerges
  • When the market is choppy and sideways with no clear direction

Performance

Backtested

Sign in to see performance

Hypothetical backtest results, risk numbers and stress-test outcomes are shown only to signed-in investors, after the advisory fee and alongside the S&P 500. Backtested results are not returns any account earned.

Track record

Strategy created
May 15, 2026
Current version
Version 8
since Jun 30, 2026
Live track record
Not yet
no combined account history

Portfolio

12 holdings · target weights for version 8, as of Jun 30, 2026. Actual positions vary with signals.

Pharmaceutical preparations49%Biological products, (no diagnostic substances)24%Surgical & medical instruments & apparatus10%Measuring & controlling devices, nec8%In vitro & in vivo diagnostic substances5%Services-commercial physical & biological research4%Unclassified0%
HoldingTarget weightMarket cap
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Pharmaceutical preparations
30%
$1.28T
AMGN
Amgen Inc.
Biological products, (no diagnostic substances)
18%
$253.21B
TMO
Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc.
Measuring & controlling devices, nec
8%
$265.92B
VKTX
Viking Therapeutics, Inc.
Pharmaceutical preparations
8%
$3.63B
WST
West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc.
Surgical & medical instruments & apparatus
7%
$28.76B
HALO
Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.
Biological products, (no diagnostic substances)
6%
$11.59B
GPCR
Structure Therapeutics Inc.
Pharmaceutical preparations
6%
$1.49B
LNTH
Lantheus Holdings, Inc.
In vitro & in vivo diagnostic substances
5%
$6.64B
PFE
Pfizer Inc.
Pharmaceutical preparations
5%
$167.86B
CRL
Charles River Laboratories International, Inc.
Services-commercial physical & biological research
4%
$16.42B
DXCM
DexCom, Inc.
Surgical & medical instruments & apparatus
3%
$29.96B
XBI
State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
—
0%
—

Risk & rules

The automated rules that limit losses.

Per-position rules
Varies by holding · closes one position
Stop loss 13% to 35%Take profit 50% to 250%Leverage None

Stops trigger on the next available price. A price gap, overnight or in a fast market, can fill well below the 13% level.

Stress tests

Ten difficult markets, chosen in advance. Eight replay real trading days; two are modelled stand-ins.

MarketMethodResult
The Bull Run of 2016–17ModelledSign in to view
The 2020 ReboundReplaySign in to view
The 2022 SlumpReplaySign in to view
The COVID CrashReplaySign in to view
The Christmas 2018 ScareReplaySign in to view
The Year That Went NowhereModelledSign in to view
The Wild Swings of Late 2022ReplaySign in to view
The Quiet YearReplaySign in to view
The Magnificent Seven YearReplaySign in to view
When Tech Handed Over to OilReplaySign in to view

Fees

Licensing fee
None
Advisory fee
Up to 1.00% a year
On deployed capital, billed on your balance
Advisory fee on $10,000 at the maximum rate
1 year
$100
3 years
$300
5 years
$500

Assumes the balance stays at $10,000. Spreads and regulatory fees may also apply.

What does GLP-1 Revolution hold?
Holdings (12): LLY, AMGN, TMO, WST, HALO, LNTH, CRL, VKTX, GPCR, PFE, DXCM, XBI.
How often does it check its rules?
Once a day, on daily prices.
When does this kind of strategy tend to struggle?
When the entire biotech sector crashes suddenly (like FDA rejection news); When interest rates spike and investors flee growth stocks overnight; When a major drug faces safety concerns or competition emerges; When the market is choppy and sideways with no clear direction.

Important information

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments involves substantial risk, including the possible loss of your entire investment, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices can be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory, or political events. Trading on margin or with leverage increases potential losses. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Not Financial Advice: The information provided on this platform is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial, or trading advice. We do not recommend any particular trading strategy or instrument. Please conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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